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Conversely, there are companies with more solid quantitative profiles, but which Moody’s views as experiencing competitive pressures that “overwhelm” those metrics. The most recent retailer to file for Chapter 11 was Rue21 on May 15, and Gymboree missed its June 1 interest payment, Moody’s noted. Moody’s describes Toys R Us as a “fallen angel,” whose initial downgrade in 2004 was a reflection of the fact that it, as Moody’s puts it, was no longer in control of its competitive destiny, while Walmart and Target were in the driver’s seat in the toy segment. During the holiday season in particular, those retailers forced Toys R Us to compete on price, which hurt margins. But throughout “myriad refinancings" (including one in 2016 that Moody’s deemed a distressed exchange), and multiple CEO turnovers, Toys R Us managed to maintain market share, relevance and generally solid liquidity, accordion to the report. “This has been one of the key factors that has kept the rating from dropping … even when factoring in its serial debt maturities and a quantitative profile” that has sometimes seemed to warrant a lower grade, according to Moody’s. “Throughout, Toys has held onto its position as the year-round destination toy retailer. It has also held up fairly well against the cutthroat holiday promotional environment that is spurred by Walmart, Amazon and Target, all of which deeply discount toys to drive web and store traffic. It also has strong vendor relationships with Hasbro and Mattel, which we believe have a vested interest in supporting Toys with exclusive product and in some cases favorable vendor terms. We cannot envision either of these key vendors benefiting from a toy retail segment led by three mammoth retailers that view the toy category as a seasonal traffic driver.” Turning to BJ’s, Moody’s says the wholesale membership-based retailer was saddled with some $2 billion in new debt from its leveraged buyout from private equity firms Leonard Green and CVC Capital Partners.
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